If you’ve been following mock drafts, you know that the conventional wisdom now has the Rams taking Sam Bradford #1 overall, throwing caution (and the lessons of Alex Smith, JaMarcus Russell, Tim Couch, David Carr and Vinny Testaverde) to the wind. But thanks to the fine work by @MockDraftMaster to aggregate and score this year’s mocks, we can show you exactly when and why the landslide of public opinion changed.
There’s a full post on MockDraftMaster.com on the subject that’s very read-worthy. Here’s a few selected quotes:
On February 24th, ESPN’s Adam Schefter went on a St. Louis radio show and guaranteed that the Rams would take Sam Bradford number 1 overall. ESPN’s Chris Mortensen and John Clayton all followed suit on the following day after the story was picked up by the ubiquitous Pro Football Talk.”
Of course, in our inaugural FanBall Mock Draft, which just completed, I spoke for the Rams and put my flag in the camp for Suh. I still stand behind this pick and the logic behind it, for reasons that were just published by the fine folks at The Steelers N’at, an independent Steelers blog.
The stories of teams that took quarterbacks — especially first overall — out of their own desperate need, or working under the false impression that having a young quarterback in the stable guarantees some sort of job security, are many. And few are pretty. Here’s the entire list since 1980, courtesy of Pro-Football-Reference’s awesome draft query tool. Out of that list we have three HOFers, including the elder Manning. We have three pretty decent quarterbacks in Eli Manning, Drew Bledsoe, and Carson Palmer. We have the enigma known as Michael Vick. and then there is a series of terrible, franchise-killing decisions.
It’s fairly obvious that Bradford is not a Peyton Manning. No one is claiming that he is. But is he even as good as a Carson Palmer? As tweeted by SI’s Jay Clemons:
Increasingly, though, it appears that these are voices in the wilderness.
(Also, stay tuned for a guest post this week that provides a completely different perspective on the Rams and the #1 pick.)